UNCLASSIFIED MSGID/GENADMIN/FLEWEACEN NORFOLK VA// SUBJ/COMBINED OPERATIONS AREA FORECAST (COAF)// POC/COMMAND DUTY OFFICER/-/FLEWEACEN NORFOLK VA/ LOC:NORFOLK VA/TEL:757-444-7583/EMAIL: FWC-NORFOLK.CDO(AT)NAVY.MIL/ FWC WILL BE MONITORING CHAT SERVER (SIPR): 199.208.205.227 ROOM: #USFF_METOC FOR ALL COORDINATION.// RMKS/1. PASS TO EMBARKED METOC. 2. METEOROLOGICAL SITUATION AT 101200Z: HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE MID-TREASURE COAST RETREATS EAST AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE PYROPE COAST DURING THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST ALONG THE TREASURE COAST THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS PRODUCING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS, RAIN SHOWERS, INCREASED WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS. 3. 24 HOUR FORECAST FOR SEAWARD (33.25N, 078.50W; 35.0N, 075.50W) COMMENCING 110000Z: A. SKY, WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY OF THE EAST CORIDOT SEA. B. CLOUDS: BASES/TOPS (FT): 3,000/18,000. RAIN SHOWERS: 1,500/25,000. THUNDERSTORMS: 1,000/40,000. C. VSBY (NM): 7, LOWERING 2 TO 4 IN RAIN SHOWERS, 1 TO 3 IN THUNDERSTORMS. D. SURFACE WIND (KTS): SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 18 TO 23 GUSTS 28, VEERING SOUTH 25 TO 30 GUSTS 35 BY 11/06Z, VEERING WEST-NORTHWEST BY 11/12Z, INCREASING 28 TO 33 GUSTS 38 BY 12/00Z. EXPECT GUSTS TO 45 IN/NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. E. COMBINED SEAS: SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 5, BUILDING 5 TO 7 BY 11/06Z, BECOMING CONFUSED BY 11/12Z, BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST BY 11/18Z, BUILDING 7 TO 9 BY 12/00Z. F. MAXIMUM/MINIMUM TEMPS (F): 64/52. G. WINDS ALOFT: 1,000(FT): 170/20, 290/25 BY 11/12Z. 3,000(FT): 190/20, 280/25 BY 11/12Z. 5,000(FT): 230/25, 270/30 BY 11/12Z. H. ICING: LGT MIXED 020-180. I. TURBULENCE: MODERATE SFC-180, IN/AROUND THUNDERSTORMS. J. MAXIMUM PA/DA: +276/+928. 4. 48 HOUR FORECAST FOR SEAWARD (33.25N, 078.50W; 35.0N, 075.50W) COMMENCING 120000Z: A. SKY, WEATHER: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. B. CLOUDS: BASES/TOPS (FT): 2,000/25,000. C. VSBY (NM): 7. D. SURFACE WIND (KTS): WEST-NORTHWEST 28 TO 33 GUSTS 38, VEERING NORTHWEST 35 TO 40 GUSTS 45 BY 12/06Z, DECREASING 28 TO 33 GUSTS 38 BY 12/15Z, DECREASING 25 TO 30 GUSTS 35 BY 12/18Z, DECREASING 23 TO 28 GUSTS 33 BY 13/00Z. E. COMBINED SEAS: WEST-NORTHWEST 7 TO 9, BUILDING 8 TO 10 BY 12/03Z, BUILDING 10 TO 14 BY 12/06Z, ABATING 7 TO 11 BY 12/18Z, ABATING 5 TO 10 BY 13/00Z. F. MAXIMUM/MINIMUM TEMPS (F): 52/37. G. WINDS ALOFT: 1,000(FT): 320/35. 3,000(FT): 310/35. 5,000(FT): 300/35. H. ICING: LGT MIXED 035-180. I. TURBULENCE: MODERATE 140-180. J. MAXIMUM PA/DA: . +257/+7. 5. 24 HOUR FORECAST FOR COASTAL AMBER COMMENCING 110000Z: A. SKY, WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. B. CLOUDS: BASES/TOPS (FT): 3,000/18,000. RAIN SHOWERS: 1,500/25,000. THUNDERSTORMS: 1,000/40,000. C. VSBY (NM): 7, LOWERING 2 TO 4 IN RAIN SHOWERS, 1 TO 3 IN THUNDERSTORMS. D. SURFACE WIND (KTS): SOUTH 13 TO 18 GUST 23, VEERING WEST-NORTHWEST BY 11/06Z, INCREASING 18 TO 23 GUSTS 28 BY 11/18Z, VEERING NORTHWEST 23 TO 28 GUSTS 33 BY 12/00Z. E. COMBINED SEAS: SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4, BUILDING SOUTH 3 TO 5 BY 11/06Z, BECOMING CONFUSED BY 11/09Z, ABATING WEST-NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 BY 11/15Z, BUILDING 3 TO 5 BY 12/00Z. F. SURF (FT/MSI): 4/6.8. G. MAXIMUM/MINIMUM TEMPS (F): 59/36. H. WINDS ALOFT: 1,000(FT): 160/15, 280/20 BY 11/12Z. 3,000(FT): 210/20, 290/25 BY 11/12Z. 5,000(FT): 230/30, 270/30 BY 11/12Z. I. ICING: LGT MIXED 020-180. J. TURBULENCE: MODERATE SFC-180, IN/AROUND THUNDERSTORMS. K. MAXIMUM PA/DA: +220/+500. 6. 48 HOUR FORECAST FOR COASTAL AMBER COMMENCING 120000Z: A. SKY, WEATHER: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. B. CLOUDS: BASES/TOPS (FT): 3,000/25,000. C. VSBY (NM): 7. D. SURFACE WIND (KTS): NORTHWEST 23 TO 28 GUSTS 33, DECREASING 20 TO 25 GUSTS 30 BY 12/12Z, DECREASING 15 TO 20 GUSTS 25 BY 12/18Z, BACKING WEST-NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 GUSTS 23 BY 13/00Z. E. COMBINED SEAS (FT): WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 5, BUILDING NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 BY 12/03Z, ABATING 3 TO 5 BY 12/15Z, ABATING 2 TO 4 BY 12/18Z, ABATING 1 TO 3 BY 13/00Z. F. SURF (FT/MSI): 5/7.3. G. MAXIMUM/MINIMUM TEMPS (F): 42/26. H. WINDS ALOFT: 1,000(FT): 330/25. 3,000(FT): 330/30. 5,000(FT): 320/30. I. ICING: NONE. J. TURBULENCE: MODERATE 140-180. K. MAXIMUM PA/DA: +229/-810. 7. 24 HOUR FORECAST FOR COASTAL AMBERLAND COMMENCING 110000Z: A. SKY, WEATHER: MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. B. CLOUDS: BASES/TOPS (FT): 3,000/18,000. RAIN SHOWERS: 1,500/25,000. THUNDERSTORMS: 1,000/40,000. C. VSBY (NM): 7, LOWERING 2 TO 4 IN RAIN SHOWERS, 1 TO 3 IN THUNDERSTORMS. D. SURFACE WIND (KTS): SOUTH 13 TO 18 GUST 23, VEERING WEST-NORTHWEST BY 11/06Z, INCREASING 18 TO 23 GUSTS 28 BY 11/18Z, VEERING NORTHWEST 23 TO 28 GUSTS 33 BY 12/00Z. E. COMBINED SEAS: SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4, BUILDING SOUTH 3 TO 5 BY 11/06Z, BECOMING CONFUSED BY 11/09Z, ABATING WEST-NORTHWEST 2 TO 4 BY 11/15Z, BUILDING 3 TO 5 BY 12/00Z. F. SURF (FT/MSI): 4/6.8. G. MAXIMUM/MINIMUM TEMPS (F): 58/44. H. WINDS ALOFT: 1,000(FT): 160/15, 280/20 BY 11/12Z. 3,000(FT): 210/20, 290/25 BY 11/12Z. 5,000(FT): 230/30, 270/30 BY 11/12Z. I. ICING: LGT MIXED 020-180. J. TURBULENCE: MODERATE SFC-180, IN/AROUND THUNDERSTORMS. K. MAXIMUM PA/DA: +276/+489. 8. 48 HOUR FORECAST FOR COASTAL AMBERLAND COMMENCING 120000Z: A. SKY, WEATHER: PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY. B. CLOUDS: BASES/TOPS (FT): 3,000/25,000. C. VSBY (NM): 7. D. SURFACE WIND (KTS): NORTHWEST 23 TO 28 GUSTS 33, DECREASING 20 TO 25 GUSTS 30 BY 12/12Z, DECREASING 15 TO 20 GUSTS 25 BY 12/18Z, BACKING WEST-NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 GUSTS 23 BY 13/00Z. E. COMBINED SEAS (FT): WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 5, BUILDING NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 BY 12/03Z, ABATING 3 TO 5 BY 12/15Z, ABATING 2 TO 4 BY 12/18Z, ABATING 1 TO 3 BY 13/00Z. F. SURF (FT/MSI): 5/7.3. G. MAXIMUM/MINIMUM TEMPS (F): 43/27. H. WINDS ALOFT: 1,000(FT): 330/25. 3,000(FT): 330/30. 5,000(FT): 320/30. I. ICING: NONE. J. TURBULENCE: MODERATE 140-180. K. MAXIMUM PA/DA: +229/-730. 9. OUTLOOK BEYOND 48 HOURS: HIGH PRESSURE OVER ONYX RIDGES EAST TOWARDS THE COAST ON MONDAY AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT FEATURE BY MONDAY EVENING.//